
The rupee fell 11 paise to close at 65.32 per dollar on November 16 on dollar demand from importers and banks. Traders pointed to US inflation and retail data that raised expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike by year-end, which could trigger capital outflows from India.
Expectations of Fed tightening strengthen the dollar and raise import costs for India, which is a modest factor for dollar-priced feed and vegetable oil imports.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.