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OCP's first-half 2026 results showed sulfur costs roughly tripling and EBITDA falling 28.5%. The company shifted its product mix toward triple superphosphate, which now makes up 35% of fertilizer exports.
Higher sulfur costs squeeze phosphate producers' margins and can support phosphate fertilizer prices, though the shift toward TSP shows producers adapting.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 28 past bullish macro events, DAP moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (36% higher; middle half -0.9% to +1.3%), and -0.8% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.