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The yuan posted a strong start to 2018, rising 3.1% against the dollar in January, over half of its 5.81% gain for all of 2017. The central parity rate hit 6.3267 on January 29, its strongest level since November 2015.
The dollar index fell more than 3% year to date, and Treasury Secretary Mnuchin's remarks that a weaker dollar would help trade added to the move.
A firmer yuan and weaker dollar lower the cost of dollar-priced feed imports into China on the margin, while a softer dollar generally supports dollar-priced grain and oilseed prices. Currency moves like this shift the relative competitiveness of Chinese and foreign feed supply.
xinhuanet.comJan 31, 2018After 362 past bearish macro events, Chinese Yuan (CNY per USD) moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (42% higher; middle half -0.4% to +0.1%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
