Loading…
The ICE Dollar Index ended 2017 down 10%, its largest annual decline since 2003, despite three Fed rate hikes and near-decade-high bond yields. BNY Mellon analysts attribute the weakness to short-term uncertainty and possible long-term pessimism.
The euro rose 14.1% against the dollar in 2017.
A weak dollar supports US commodity export competitiveness and tends to lift dollar-priced grains, oilseeds and crude. The unexplained divergence from yields adds uncertainty for currency-driven feed price forecasts.
marketwatch.comAnora M. GaudianoJan 4, 2018After 1,637 past bearish macro events, DXY moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 388 past bullish macro events, EURUSD moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.4% to +1.1%), and +0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
