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Wisconsin dairy economist Bob Cropp expects the Class III milk price to average in the $14s in the first half of 2018. The Class III price peaked at $16.88 in November 2017 and fell to $15.45 in December.
USDA forecasts US milk production up 1.7% in 2018, and the article says strong domestic sales and exports are needed to support prices.
Expected strong milk output and falling Class III prices point to bearish dairy markets and weaker dairy farm margins through early 2018. Lower milk returns may restrain dairy herd feed purchases.
farmprogress.comFran O'LearyJan 3, 2018After 273 past bearish report events, Milk (Class III) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -1.3% to +0.4%), and -1.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
