◂ Event Timeline

Jan 26, 2018TRADECanada

U.S. anti-trade agenda could benefit Canadian ag

Iowa State economist Dermot Hayes said U.S. withdrawal from the TPP and NAFTA talks could give Canadian agriculture preferential access to Japan, Vietnam and Mexico. The TPP's remaining 11 members reached a deal and plan to sign in March.

WHY IT MATTERS

Trade-policy shifts that favor Canadian exporters could shift some demand away from U.S. grain and oilseed exports. The effect on prices is speculative and longer-term.

AFFECTSCANMEAL▲CORN◆

SOURCE
agcanada.comAGCanadaJan 26, 2018

Price reaction & history

CANMEAL▲bullish

Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.

CORN◆neutralSO FAR1d +0.2%5d +0.3%20d +1.2%

After 480 past neutral trade events, CORN moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.6%), and +0.7% over 20.

Sep 8, 2017Winning at the border on trade - AgCanada-0.4%
Nov 24, 2017Firm feed barley market capped by U.S. corn - AgCanada-0.4%
Jan 9, 2024Canada and US Governments Shut Down Ability of Canadian NGOs to Comment in Trade Dispute Over Mexico’s GM Corn Ban | CBAN-0.1%
Feb 11, 2017US grains benefit from strong Mexican trade relations | Feed Strategy-1.1%
Jun 1, 2025China's corn shift: Asian buyers benefit from U.S. market changes+0.5%

Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.

CANMEAL · GP ▸

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CORN · GP ▸

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