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The ECB minutes from its January meeting said the weak dollar has been the main driver of the rising euro. The minutes protested recent international statements on exchange-rate developments.
The Telegraph reports the ECB is accusing the Trump administration of driving down the dollar to gain trade advantage.
Accusations of competitive currency devaluation raise the risk of trade-policy friction that could affect US agricultural export flows. A weaker dollar supports dollar-priced grain and oilseed values, while a stronger euro dampens European import demand.
telegraph.co.ukAmbrose Evans-PritchardFeb 22, 2018After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 388 past bullish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.4% to +1.1%), and +0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
