Ukrainian processors are holding sunflower seed purchase prices at 11,300-11,500 UAH/t after a hryvnia rally, below soybean and rapeseed prices. Oil World cut its 2017/18 world sunflower crop forecast to 48.52 million tons, with Ukraine reduced to 13.2 million tons.
A smaller Ukrainian and Russian crop and weaker vegetable oil prices tighten sunflower supply but pressure seed prices, which supports sunflower meal demand.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 29 past bearish weather events, Palm Oil moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (38% higher; middle half -2.2% to +0.6%), and -1.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.