DTN's Bryce Anderson says La Niña has cooled equatorial Pacific waters by about 1C, shaping a split South American season. Brazil's soybean crop is expected to be only slightly below last year, while the safrinha corn crop faces a later planting and lower projected output.
A smaller Brazilian safrinha corn crop reduces export supply later in the year, supporting corn and feed-ingredient prices against a backdrop of Argentine drought.
After 1,465 past bullish weather events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.9%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 1,079 past bullish weather events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 453 past bullish weather events, Soybean Meal moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (55% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.7%), and +0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.