The rupiah weakened 2.92% from 13,402 per dollar on February 1 to 13,793 on March 1, 2018, amid dollar strength before the Fed meeting. US President Trump announced 25% steel and 10% aluminum import tariffs, and global stock markets fell.
US tariffs raised trade-war risk, which can weigh on export-linked demand and shift dollar flows. The article expects the rupiah to firm as the dollar softens, which would lower the local cost of imported feed ingredients.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 39 past bearish trade events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (26% higher; middle half -1.1% to +0.0%), and -0.8% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.