
The EU has removed anti-dumping duties on biodiesel from 13 Argentine and Indonesian producers following rulings from the European Court of Justice and the WTO. Verbio's CEO expects a surge of imports from April, and ADM will suspend production at a German biodiesel site.
Imports could reach 3 to 5 million tonnes in 2018.
Imports of 3 to 5 million tonnes would displace EU biodiesel made mainly from rapeseed oil, reducing European oilseed crush demand. Lower EU feedstock demand is bearish for vegetable oil prices.
After 152 past bearish trade events, SBO moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.1% to +2.1%), and -0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.