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Indian non-basmati rice exporters fear a sharp rise in the minimum support price for paddy, proposed at 50 per cent over production cost. They say India's rice shipments have already exceeded 10 million tonnes for April-January.
A higher Indian MSP would raise export prices and could erode India's competitiveness, supporting world rice prices if the increase is large.
After 168 past bullish policy events, Rough Rice moved a median +0.8% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -1.7% to +2.1%), and -0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.