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An IG preview says markets priced a 94% probability of a quarter-point Fed hike at the March meeting, Powell's first as chair. Traders will look for guidance on the pace of tightening, with some expecting possibly four hikes in 2018.
Expected tighter US policy supports the dollar and raises commodity holding costs, a macro backdrop that tends to weigh on dollar-priced grains and oilseeds.
ig.comShaun MurisonMar 19, 2018After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
