
US inflation eased to 4% in May, helped by sharply lower egg and gasoline prices. Consumer prices are still elevated, and the Federal Reserve is weighing further interest rate decisions.
Higher-for-longer rates can strengthen the dollar and weigh on commodity prices, while lower energy costs reduce feed and freight expenses.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
After 565 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -1.4% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -5.9% to +3.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.