
The rand was volatile on Thursday as producer inflation data and rising US bond yields pressured emerging-market currencies. The 10-year US Treasury yield rose above 3%, its highest since 2011, and strategists still expect the rand to reach new highs before year end.
Higher US yields strengthening the dollar tends to weigh on emerging-market currencies and can shift import costs for South African feed buyers, but the impact on grain prices is indirect.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.