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TA Securities expects the ringgit to weaken by an average of 7.3% after the general election this year. The forecast is based on past post-election declines in 1990, 1995, 2008 and 2013.
The ringgit is up 3.1% year to date but has fallen about 1.4% in April.
A weaker ringgit would make Malaysian palm oil cheaper in dollar terms and could support palm oil exports. The effect on feed prices would be modest, though.
customstoday.mediaCT ReportApr 30, 2018Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 86 past neutral macro events, Palm Oil moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (56% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.0%), and +1.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
