
Strategists expect the Malaysian ringgit to retest its 2026 peak near 3.88 per dollar, after it slid 4% in March during the Iran war and then rallied. The currency traded near 3.95 at the time.
Loomis Sayles and Deutsche Bank also expect further gains.
A stronger ringgit raises the local-currency cost of Malaysian palm oil exports, which can cap export demand and support prices in ringgit terms only modestly.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 86 past neutral macro events, Palm Oil moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (56% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.0%), and +1.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.