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Options traders bought about $1.4 billion of USD/BRL call contracts with a 3.5 strike, with volume about 25 times average, as the real traded near 3.5 per dollar, its lowest in 11 months. Analysts cite worries over the Palocci testimony in the Carwash graft probe and a Supreme Court move that could free Lula.
Expected real volatility and possible political shocks can move the currency sharply, which changes Brazilian export competitiveness and the dollar cost of soybean and corn exports.
investors.comInvestor's Business DailyApr 26, 2018After 301 past bullish macro events, USDBRL moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -1.2% to +1.7%), and +1.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
