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The dollar has risen about 2.3 to 2.4 percent in seven trading days since April 17, recovering from a February low. The author attributes the move to Fed rate hikes and accelerating balance sheet unwinding.
A stronger dollar makes US commodities more expensive for overseas buyers and can pressure futures prices across grains, meals and oilseeds.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.