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Oilseed markets rose on March 8, 2021, with Chicago soybeans passing $14.50 a bushel amid a drought in Argentina expected to last another 14 days. Traders expected USDA's WASDE report to show lower US soybean ending stocks and world stocks falling to 82.9 million tonnes.
Argentine drought threatens yields on roughly 30% of the soybean belt, tightening world soymeal and oil supplies and raising feed protein costs. The expected WASDE stock cut adds further upward price pressure.
mundus-agri.euMar 8, 2021After 1,079 past bullish weather events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 453 past bullish weather events, Soybean Meal moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (55% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.7%), and +0.5% over 20.
After 184 past bullish weather events, Soybean Oil moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.9% to +2.4%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
On March 8 Argentine drought and expectations of tighter US and world soybean stocks ahead of WASDE, plus crude oil strength, lifted Chicago oilseeds and supported the soyoil surge (supply and sentiment).
