Paris, Beijing decisions complicate soy outlook

After 842 past bullish policy events, Soybean Oil moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.1%), and -0.5% over 20.

• Jul 15, 2026Uncertainty Over U.S. Biofuels Policy Muddying Outlook: CoBank - OPIS, A Dow Jones Company-1.3%
• Sep 2, 2026CBOT soybean oil rises 7.2% as EPA reallocation shifts biofuel outlook | S&P Global-4.0%
• Sep 3, 2025Higher RVOs Create Positive Outlook for Biodiesel-3.2%
• Dec 7, 2022Renewable diesel boom fueling soybean crushing expansion | Agri-Pulse Communications, Inc.-1.4%
• May 17, 2023Malaysia Says Committed to Raising Palm Oil Biodiesel Mandate+1.5%

After 356 past bullish policy events, Soybeans moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.2% to +2.3%), and -0.9% over 20.

• Jul 15, 2026Uncertainty Over U.S. Biofuels Policy Muddying Outlook: CoBank - OPIS, A Dow Jones Company+1.0%
• Sep 2, 2026CBOT soybean oil rises 7.2% as EPA reallocation shifts biofuel outlook | S&P Global-0.9%
• Sep 3, 2025Higher RVOs Create Positive Outlook for Biodiesel-1.4%
• Dec 7, 2022Renewable diesel boom fueling soybean crushing expansion | Agri-Pulse Communications, Inc.+1.7%
• Jun 3, 2026All signs point to China sticking with US soy deal, Vaden says | Agri-Pulse Communications, Inc.-4.4%