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A KazGrain 2018 conference presentation said Kazakhstan could expand grain exports through Novorossiysk using rail-to-vessel loading and container shipments. Current volumes are about 100 thousand tonnes, with capacity estimated at 1 million tonnes per year.
Improved Kazakh export routes would add future wheat supply to Black Sea markets, but current volumes are small and the effect on prices is limited.
After 163 past neutral logistics events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.1%), and -0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.