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Ukrainian seaports shipped 506 thousand tonnes of grain from September 23 to 29, up 1% week on week, mostly wheat at 381,000 tonnes. Egypt and Indonesia were the main importers.
Steady weekly shipments show stable Black Sea wheat export supply, a neutral signal for prices. The volume is routine rather than a new shock.
After 163 past neutral logistics events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.1%), and -0.3% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.