
Bank Indonesia Governor Perry Warjiyo attributed rupiah weakness of about 4% against the dollar to expected faster US Federal Reserve rate hikes, and to expansionary US fiscal policy that widens the deficit and boosts bond issuance. He noted US unemployment at 3.9% and growth forecasts of 2.7%.
Expectations of more US rate hikes and a wider US deficit keep the dollar firm and pressure emerging-market currencies, raising import costs for Indonesian feed buyers.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.