
Latin American credit issuers are holding off on new bond sales after a stronger US dollar triggered an emerging-market currency sell-off. Argentina raised its benchmark rate three times in about a week to 40%, and some issuers extended tender offers instead of issuing.
A stronger dollar and EM currency stress raise borrowing costs across the region, which can weaken local currencies like the BRL and ARS and affect feed-importing economies' purchasing power.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 301 past bullish macro events, Brazilian Real (BRL per USD) moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -1.2% to +1.7%), and +1.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.