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Nomura expects Mexican peso to rally short term after NAFTA talks, Colombian peso to outperform, and Chilean peso to do well. Brazil, Peru and Argentina currencies are expected to underperform due to political and fiscal uncertainty.
Divergent LatAm currencies affect the cost of imported feed ingredients and the competitiveness of Brazilian and Argentine soy and corn exports; a weaker BRL tends to support Brazilian soybean and meal export flows.
bnamericas.comApr 10, 2018Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 301 past bullish macro events, Brazilian Real (BRL per USD) moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -1.2% to +1.7%), and +1.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
