
Emerging-market currencies have weakened as foreign capital flows back to the US after the Federal Reserve tightened policy and US bond yields and the dollar rose. The MSCI Emerging Markets index fell more than 10 percent from its January peak.
A stronger dollar and weaker EM currencies raise import costs for feed-buying countries, which can dampen demand for US grains and meals while pressuring local feed prices.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.