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A spiralling Italian political crisis triggered a global stock selloff, pushed the euro to an 11-month low near $1.15, and spiked short-dated Italian bond yields to their highest since 2013. Investors fear repeat elections could become a de facto referendum on Italian euro membership.
Euro weakness and safe-haven flows into the dollar and Treasuries affect dollar-denominated feed commodity prices and import costs for euro-area buyers, while the risk-off move weighs on broader commodity sentiment.
timesofmalta.comMay 30, 2018After 533 past bearish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (33% higher; middle half -1.2% to +0.2%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
