
Emerging-market currencies are coming under pressure as upbeat US economic data raises expectations of Fed rate hikes. The article notes that EM economies had received large capital inflows in 2017, and that dollar-denominated credit to emerging markets reached US$3.67 trillion.
Capital outflows and currency weakness in emerging markets such as Brazil can make imports of feed and grain more expensive for those buyers. A stronger dollar also tends to pressure dollar-priced commodities.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
After 301 past bullish macro events, Brazilian Real (BRL per USD) moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -1.2% to +1.7%), and +1.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.