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Indiana farmers reacted with relief after US-China negotiations appeared to reach a stalemate with mutual concessions, including China's planned cut of its tariff on American autos from 25% to 15% from July 1. Soybean futures rose about a quarter after the news, and a Trump tweet claimed China agreed to buy massive amounts of additional farm products.
Easing trade tensions and a possible Chinese purchase commitment support US soybean demand and prices, though analysts want details before assuming new export sales.
wfyi.orgBrock E.W. TurnerMay 22, 2018After 696 past bullish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.9%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 224 past neutral trade events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (43% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.2%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
