
A winter outlook reports historically low US natural gas storage alongside rising unconventional output. AccuWeather expects an El Niño pattern to bring cold, snow and ice threats to the Southeast, Tennessee Valley and Gulf Coast, and a delay of two Mexican pipelines is expected to constrain Permian Basin takeaway.
Colder conditions in key demand regions combined with low storage and constrained Permian takeaway could tighten supply and lift prices in winter.
After 221 past bullish weather events, Natural Gas moved a median +3.3% over 5 sessions (61% higher; middle half -5.2% to +14.0%), and -0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.