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Henry Hub natural gas for November delivery rose as much as 10.7% to $5.844/mmBtu on forecasts of chilly November weather in the US East. The widowmaker spread widened to $1.481, signaling concern about end-of-winter inventories.
LNG feedgas flows reached 11.3 Bcf/d, the highest since May, after Freeport LNG resumed operations.
Cold forecasts combined with rising LNG feedgas tighten US supply and support higher natural gas prices. Higher gas costs raise energy and nitrogen fertilizer costs for feed producers.
worldoil.comGerson Freitas Jr.Oct 25, 2021After 221 past bullish weather events, NATGAS moved a median +3.3% over 5 sessions (61% higher; middle half -5.2% to +14.0%), and -0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Same-day report of a ~10% Henry Hub surge on cold early-November forecasts, a wider widowmaker spread signaling winter inventory worries, and LNG feedgas at a five-month high after Freeport resumed, which adds demand and directly explains the move.
