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Danske Bank sees USD/BRL falling to 3.75 in three months, 3.65 in six months and 3.50 in twelve months, a modestly positive outlook for the real. The bank says pre-election political woes will still weigh on the currency in 2018.
It also notes the Brazilian Central Bank has kept rates unchanged and provided an abundant FX swap line.
A forecast for a firmer real would lower Brazilian buyers' import costs for feed ingredients over time, though the analysis is a forecast rather than a current price driver.
forexcrunch.comFX StreetJun 29, 2018After 213 past bearish macro events, USDBRL moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (46% higher; middle half -1.5% to +0.9%), and +0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
