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EU negotiators agreed to phase out palm oil use in transport fuels by 2030, with use capped at 2019 levels until 2023. The move sets up a dispute with Malaysia and Indonesia, the two producers that account for nearly 90% of global palm output.
A scheduled end to palm biofuel demand in the EU reduces long-term palm demand and shifts biodiesel feedstock toward rapeseed and soyoil.
thestar.com.myJun 14, 2018After 400 past bearish policy events, Palm Oil moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.1%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 842 past bullish policy events, Soybean Oil moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.1%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
The same EU palm oil phase-out news and the trade clash with Malaysia and Indonesia add to vegetable oil market uncertainty on the day, with a limited direct link to soybean oil.
