
Renewable Energy Group benefited from a leaked EPA biomass-based diesel proposal for 2020 that contained a surprise increase, while China's new tariffs on U.S. soybeans pushed soybean prices lower and cut biodiesel production costs. The article also notes that the official EPA release was postponed after refiner pushback.
Lower soybean prices from Chinese tariffs reduce feedstock costs for biodiesel, while the proposed biodiesel mandate increase supports soybean oil demand.
After 224 past bullish trade events, Soybean Oil moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.5% to +2.1%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 803 past bearish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.7%), and +0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.