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The ECB published the account of its June monetary policy meeting. It reported rising global risk aversion, escalating trade tensions, and steel and aluminium tariffs on Canada, Mexico and the EU.
It also noted that the spread between two-year US and German yields had widened to over 300 basis points.
Wider rate differentials and trade-driven volatility tend to support the dollar, which pressures dollar-priced agricultural commodities for importers.
ecb.europa.euEuropean Central BankJul 12, 2018After 533 past bearish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (33% higher; middle half -1.2% to +0.2%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
