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USDA projected 2018-19 U.S. soybean ending stocks at a would-be record 580 million bushels, about 50% above its prior estimate and above analyst expectations. The increase reflects lower export projections tied to China's tariffs.
A record carryout signals weak demand for U.S. beans, keeping cash soybean prices near decade lows and pressuring soymeal and oil values.
wsj.comBenjamin Parkin and Francesca FontanaJul 12, 2018After 788 past bearish report events, Soybeans moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.0% to +1.5%), and -0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
USDA's July 12 WASDE projected record 580 million bushel 2018-19 soybean ending stocks (~50% above prior), driven by cut export forecasts, pushing prices to near decade lows.
