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Latin American currencies fell in a virus-driven rout, and Chile's central bank cut its policy rate. The Fed cut rates by 100 basis points to near zero and pledged at least $700 billion in asset purchases, while Brent fell 10% and U.S. crude dropped below $30.
Falling crude prices and worries about Pemex's finances weigh on energy and emerging-market demand, which is bearish for oil. Global easing and currency weakness shape the trade backdrop for feed commodities.
reuters.comShreyashi SanyalMar 16, 2020After 565 past bearish macro events, WTI moved a median -1.4% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -5.9% to +3.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 312 past bearish macro events, BRENT moved a median -1.7% over 5 sessions (38% higher; middle half -5.4% to +2.3%), and -1.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Dated 2020-03-16, it reports Brent falling about 10% alongside the Fed's emergency cuts to near zero, a recession and demand-shock sentiment that coincides with the -13% move.
On March 16 U.S. crude dropped below $30 as Fed emergency cuts failed to calm demand fears.
Mar 16 Brent fell 10% as the Fed's emergency cut signaled severe recession risk and demand destruction.
March 16 coverage of the virus-driven rout, with US crude below $30 despite the Fed's emergency cut, shows the selling pressure carrying into March 17.
