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Analysts said Saudi Aramco is unlikely to reduce its overall oil exports to the West after suspending Red Sea shipments following Houthi attacks on two Bahri-operated crude carriers. Aramco has alternative routes to Europe, including the longer route around the Horn of Africa.
Analysts still expect short-term disruption and concern in crude and shipping insurance markets.
Aramco's rerouting limits the supply loss, so the net crude price effect may be modest. Short-term disruption and higher insurance and freight costs could still keep energy prices volatile.
thenationalnews.comDania SaadiJul 31, 2018After 63 past neutral geopolitics events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -0.5% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -4.4% to +2.6%), and -2.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
