
OPEC+ prepared for its annual virtual meeting on December 1 amid lockdowns and renewed Asian crude demand. Libya has resumed exports, raising output to about 1.25 million bpd, and Iran and Venezuela barrels may return.
Possible returning supply from Libya, Iran and Venezuela could cap crude gains, while cuts extension would support prices.
After 63 past neutral geopolitics events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -0.5% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -4.4% to +2.6%), and -2.7% over 20.
After 60 past neutral geopolitics events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -0.9% over 5 sessions (43% higher; middle half -4.7% to +2.3%), and -1.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.