Analysts at AmInvestment Bank expect the ringgit to stay weak through 2018 as the US dollar strengthens against most currencies. They project two more 25 basis point Fed hikes in September and December.
The bank also said Bank Negara has little urgency to change its overnight policy rate of 3.25%.
A persistently weak ringgit and firmer dollar support Malaysian palm oil competitiveness in export markets, while higher US rates raise the cost of carrying dollar-linked commodity inventories.
After 86 past neutral macro events, Palm Oil moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (56% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.0%), and +1.0% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.