
The US dollar rose sharply on August 28, 2018 against Latin American and Turkish currencies, and USD/MXN rebounded about 2% to above 19.00 after dipping to 18.70. Higher US yields and political uncertainty in Brazil were cited as drivers.
The peso did not hold the gains from the trade deal announcement.
A weaker peso raises Mexico's cost of dollar-denominated US feed and grain imports, which can dampen demand. The broad dollar rally across emerging markets adds to pressure on import-dependent buyers.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.