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OPEC's plan to raise production by 1 million b/d with Russia and allies has stalled, with ample supply in key Asian markets. Saudi Arabia is positioned as the swing producer, and Venezuela's economic crisis and Iran sanctions add uncertainty.
Trade wars and demand risks further complicate the outlook.
Uncertainty over whether OPEC will cut or add supply leaves crude prices without a clear direction, which feeds through to energy and freight costs for feed buyers.
spglobal.comAug 21, 2018After 175 past neutral policy events, BRENT moved a median -0.9% over 5 sessions (45% higher; middle half -3.6% to +3.0%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 187 past neutral policy events, WTI moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -4.0% to +3.5%), and +0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
