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The current farm bill is set to expire after the weekend with no agreement from the House-Senate conference committee. About 39 orphan programs, including a government-funded trade promotion program, lose authorization or funding tied to the 2014 law.
Their estimated mandatory spending was about $2.8 billion over five years.
Loss of export promotion funding could weaken US competitiveness in overseas markets for agricultural products, a modest bearish factor for export demand over time. The near-term price impact is small because a lame-duck deal is still expected.
cnbc.comJeff DanielsSep 28, 2018After 1,623 past policy events, Corn moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.5%), and +0.4% over 20.
After 1,905 past policy events, Soybeans moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.8%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 1,019 past policy events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.5%), and +0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
