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Kansas State economist Glynn Tonsor estimates that cattle sector losses from COVID-19 could reach $7 billion to $9 billion. Per-head value declines since January 7 range from $58 for calves to $126 for fed cattle.
The estimate uses USDA beef cow inventory of 31.32 million head.
Large losses and reduced cattle inventories signal slower herd rebuilding and weaker feed demand from the cattle sector, pressuring feed grain and meal prices.
hpj.comHPJ StaffMar 25, 2020After 37 past bearish macro events, Live Cattle moved a median -1.1% over 5 sessions (30% higher; middle half -4.3% to +0.4%), and -0.4% over 20.
After 27 past bearish macro events, Feeder Cattle moved a median -0.9% over 5 sessions (37% higher; middle half -3.7% to +0.4%), and 0.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
