
Ukraine's wheat exports reached 5.47 million tons since the start of 2018/19 as of October 3, down 464 thousand tons year on year. Barley shipments were 2.15 million tons, down 920 thousand, and total Ukrainian grain exports were 9.31 million tons, 935 thousand less than last year.
Lower Ukrainian shipments so far this season leave more export business for Russia and others, a mildly supportive factor for wheat and barley prices.
After 431 past bullish trade events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.3% to +2.1%), and +0.5% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.