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USDA's November supply and demand report cut its 2018 and 2019 milk production forecasts due to lower cow numbers, partly offset by higher output per cow. It lowered butter and cheese price forecasts for 2018 and cut the 2018 all-milk price range to $16.20-$16.30, down 5 to 15 cents.
Lower projected milk output combined with weaker cheese and butter prices points to a bearish outlook for Class III milk and dairy product values, which affects dairy-based feed demand and sentiment for MILK futures.
brownfieldagnews.comNicole HeslipNov 8, 2018After 273 past bearish report events, Milk (Class III) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -1.3% to +0.4%), and -1.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
