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IQC's Q3 2018 China pork report shows September slaughter up 2.8% year on year and live hog inventories beginning to rise month on month. Regional hog prices diverged sharply after African swine fever appeared, with Zhejiang up 35% and Liaoning down 27.8% from August to October.
Rising slaughter and inventories point to more pork supply, which is bearish for hog prices, while regional disruptions add volatility.
thepigsite.comGlobal Ag MediaNov 22, 2018After 159 past bearish report events, Lean Hogs moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.3%), and +1.0% over 20.
After 250 past neutral report events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
