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Argentina's agribusiness sector is recovering from last year's drought, with analysts expecting a record 2018 grain yield. Exports of soybeans and grain are the main source of foreign currency and have helped offset recession pain.
The government has also reintroduced a 10 percent tax on exporters' earnings, angering farmers.
A record Argentine harvest adds supply to global soymeal and grain markets, which is bearish for prices, while export tax changes can shift farmer selling and export flows.
batimes.com.arEugenia IglesiasNov 3, 2018After 222 past bearish policy events, SBM moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (45% higher; middle half -2.1% to +1.2%), and -0.6% over 20.
After 369 past bearish policy events, SOY moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (46% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.8%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 310 past bearish policy events, CORN moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.9%), and +0.6% over 20.
After 122 past bearish policy events, WHEAT moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -1.9% to +1.2%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
