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The trade war hit the global hog industry at a poor time, after worldwide pork production expanded to record levels. Producers had expected rising meat demand and cheap feed from a grains glut.
Oversupplied global pork markets and lost export access weigh on hog prices and reduce demand for feed ingredients.
After 123 past bearish trade events, Lean Hogs moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (43% higher; middle half -2.9% to +2.0%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.